NFL Football Betting
NFL: Double-digit dogs continue to cash
2010-11-17
Last week, we once again suggested playing against favorites of 10 points or more, even if it meant backing a Dallas team that had lost five straight (SU and ATS) and was 1-7 on the year (both SU and ATS). With their 33-20 victory over the New York Giants, Dallas easily covered the point spread and obviously won the game outright.
This marked the fourth straight double-digit ‘dog to cover the spread, and the second of that group to also win their game outright (Cleveland over New Orleans in Week 7). For the season, underdogs of 10 points or more are now a money-making 9-4 ATS (69%).
After checking the NFL Week 11 point spreads at Sportsbook.com, there are currently three double-digit dogs. Here are the matchups, along with some supporting football betting trends.
Baltimore at Carolina (+10)
Play On - Home teams (Carolina) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. (24-2 over the last 10 seasons.) (92.3%, +21.8 units. Rating = 4*).
Seattle (+11.5) at New Orleans
Play On - Underdogs of 10.5 or more points (Seattle) - off an upset win as a road underdog. (34-11 since 1983.) (75.6%, +21.9 units. Rating = 2*).
Denver (+10) at San Diego
Play Against - Home favorites (San Diego) - excellent passing team (>=265 PY/game) against an average passing defense (185-230 PY/game), after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game. (33-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating = 3*).
Also note that Baltimore and New Orleans are both 0-2 ATS as double-digit favorites this season.
Going into Week 9, a developing trend was unearthed that had yet to be defeated. Through the first eight weeks of the season, teams that had lost five or more consecutive games straight up were 4-0 ATS in their next game. This trend remains unbeaten after both Cincinnati and Dallas beat the spread in Week 10 after having lost five straight SU. Buffalo pushed each of the last two weeks as losers of seven and eight straight SU, but did finally earn its first outright victory in Week 10.
For the season, teams riding losing streaks of five or more SU are now 6-0 ATS and 4-4 SU. Cincinnati will put this unbeaten record to the test once again in Week 11 when it attempts to snap its six-game SU losing streak. The Bengals play at home against Buffalo.
To bet on this weeks double-digit dogs or to simply check the NFL Week 11 betting odds, head over to Sportsbook.com now.
Football betting: AFC South/West Regular Season Wins Predictions2010-08-24Over under lines supplied by www.sportsbook.com the home of NFL betting.
The Indianapolis Colts (O/U: 11) have been the most consistent team in the NFL over the last several years. In each of the last seven seasons, Indy has won 12 or more games in the regular season. With MVP quarterback Peyton Manning showing no signs of slowing down, the Colts should continue to be an elite team as a new decade begins. While the offense gets most of the headlines for the club, the defense has ranked in the top 8 in the NFL in scoring defense in four of the last five years. The schedule will have some challenges but the Colts will only have to face two playoff squads from 2009 on the road. Indianapolis goes over the football betting number with another big regular season.
After breaking through for the first winning season in the history of the franchise in 2009, the Houston Texans (O/U: 8) will try to take the next step with a postseason bid in 2010. While the club's passing game is one of the NFL's best, the offense could use some better production on the ground. The defense (13th in NFL in total defense in 2009) has gradually improved in recent years. Houston produces another winning campaign to go over the total.
It was a tale of two seasons for the Tennessee Titans (O/U: 8) in 2009. After an 0-6 start, the club went 8-2 the rest of the way. Running back Chris Johnson will once again be a difference maker after rushing for over 2,000 yards in 2009 but the Titans playoff hopes in 2010 will be determined by the performance of quarterback Vince Young. A defense that struggled last year has lost some key veterans. Tennessee comes up short of the .500 mark for an under.
The Jacksonville Jaguars (O/U: 7) appear to be the weak link in the AFC South. The club has managed only 12 wins over the last two seasons. With the exception of dynamic running back Maurice Jones-Drew, the Jags don't have any other impact performers on either side of the ball. In a deep division, Jacksonville is overmatched to yield an under.
In the AFC West, the San Diego Chargers (O/U: 11) are an overwhelming football betting favorite to win the division title for a fifth straight year. The club has undergone a bit of a transition from 2009. LaDainian Tomlinson and Antonio Cromartie are now with the New York Jets. In the preseason, the Chargers are dealing with a couple of key holdouts. Still, there is plenty of talent to work with in San Diego. Quarterback Phillip Rivers is one of the best signal-callers in the league. The defense will be looking for some more consistency. A reasonable schedule should enable the Chargers to go over with at least 11 victories.
In each of the last two seasons, the Denver Broncos (O/U: 7) have started quickly before fading in the second half of the year. While the team just missed the postseason a year ago, expectations aren't too high in 2010. A couple of key personnel losses will make it difficult for the Broncos to challenge for the playoffs again this season. Star wide receiver Brandon Marshall is now with the Miami Dolphins. On defense, linebacker Elvis Dumervil (led NFL with 17 sacks in 2009) is expected to miss most of the season due to injury. Denver takes a step back in 2010 for an under.
The Kansas City Chiefs (O/U: 6.5) have struggled to a 10-38 record since 2007. However, the club is on the right track under second-year head coach Todd Haley. With a backfield combo of Thomas Jones and Jamaal Charles, Kansas City should have one of the top running back duos in the league in 2010. The defense has a long way to go but the unit should be better this year. In a mediocre division beyond San Diego, the Chiefs manage at least seven wins for an over.
In each of the last seven years, the Oakland Raiders (O/U: 6.5) have lost at least 11 games. While former Redskins quarterback Jason Campbell (20-32 record as starter) should help the offense improve a little bit, he may not be the right player to turn around the team's losing culture. Despite some talented players on the defensive side of the ball, the Raiders have finished in the bottom 10 in the league in total defense in each of the last two years. Oakland's losing way continue for an under in 2010.
NFL: Early Super Bowl Preview2010-01-26The Super Bowl matchup is set, with Indianapolis and New Orleans getting two weeks to prepare for their championship showdown in Miami. Oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com have already weighed in on their thoughts, installing the Colts as 4-point opening line favorites. That number has since moved to 5.5-points, with Indy getting about 64% of the action according to the BETTING TRENDS page. Read on for a quick look at the backdrop surrounding Super Bowl XLIV and stick with Sportsbook.com from now till kickoff of the big game for more great coverage.
Peyton Manning survived an early knockout attempt by the Jets, guided the third-biggest comeback in AFC Championship Game history—11 points—and shredded Gang Green’s No. 1-ranked defense in the process. The NFL’s regular season Most Valuable Player threw for 377 yards and three touchdowns in a 30-17 victory that ended far better than it started.
The Colts scored the game’s final 24 points and routinely made big plays against a New York defense that rarely allowed them through its first 18 games. Manning completed five throws of at least 20 yards and turned the tide with a four-play, 80-yard drive late in the second quarter that cut the 11-point deficit to just 17-13 at halftime. Head coach Rex Ryan’s team never recovered.
New Orleans proved to be equally resilient despite being dominated in almost every aspect of last Sunday’s NFC Championship Game by Minnesota, including total yards (475-257) and time of possession (36:49-27:56). The Saints squeaked by the Vikings, 31-28 in overtime, to advance to the Super Bowl for the first time in franchise history.
Along with Manning, Super Bowl XLIV also features the runner-up in the NFL MVP race, New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees, who finished the regular season with 34 touchdowns and has added six more in two postseason victories. There are few differences between the two signal-callers, other than Manning’s overwhelming postseason experience. The Colts quarterback is now 3-2 in AFC title games (9-8 overall) and looks to win his second Super Bowl title in the last four seasons.
Regardless of who’s in the huddle, the two quarterbacks never lack confidence in flinging the ball around. Against the Jets, Manning’s top targets, Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark, who each had at least 100 catches and 1,000 yards receiving during the regular season, combined for seven grabs and 90 yards. So, he turned to second-year wideout Pierre Garcon (11 catches, 151 yards, one touchdown) and rookie Austin Collie (7, 123, 1). Brees spread the ball around to eight different receivers, three of whom scored in the NFC title game.
The overall series between the teams is tied at 5-5, but the Colts have won the last two meetings, the most recent a 41-10 blowout in 2007.
PREDICTION
There’s no question Manning can keep up with Brees in a shootout. What is an issue is whether or not his defense can do enough to slow New Orleans down. The Colts knocked off a pair of run-oriented offenses (Ravens and Jets) in their first two playoff games, but the well-balanced Saints present a far bigger problem. NEW ORLEANS 38, INDIANAPOLIS 32
NFL: DENVER at SAN DIEGO (8:35 PM ET, ESPN)2009-10-16Fatigue won’t be to blame if San Diego drops this critical Monday night contest vs. the Broncos. The Chargers will have had 15 days to prepare since their ugly loss at Pittsburgh dropped them to 2-2. Now, 2-1/2 games back in the AFC West, HC Norv Turner’s team is in must-win mode. The hosts are a 4-point favorite, and most bettors expect them to get the job done. Get the latest breakdown on Sportsbook.com’s BETTING TRENDS page. Also, be sure to check all the other side, total, and prop options available for this and every other Monday night game on the LIVE ODDS page.
Fortunately, the Chargers have won often vs. Denver of late, going 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in the L6 H2h meetings. They’ve also done well at home under Turner, going 14-6 ATS, including 4-2 ATS vs. divisional foes. The Broncos are 5-0 after beating New England and head into their bye week next Sunday. They are 2-7 ATS in their L9 pre-bye week games on the road AND vs. division opponents. Denver won its only game vs. an AFC West foe so far, snapping a skid of 3-15 ATS vs. division rivals.
The Chargers waited until Week 13 last season to get their act together and snagged the division title on the final Sunday. This year’s push for the AFC West crown needs to begin on Monday night when they host upstart Denver, which comes off its fifth win out of the gate.
San Diego hasn’t enjoyed a fast start since 2006 when it won four of its first five and finished 13-3. It lost three of four to start the following season and was 2-3 at this same time a year ago. At .500 and coming off a bye as well as a 38-28 loss in Pittsburgh in Week 4, head coach Norv Turner can’t put his finger on one thing that’s ailing his talented club.
On paper, the difference between the Chargers and Steelers was 10 points. But Turner’s team fell behind 28-0 before quarterback Philip Rivers got the air show going and made it interesting. San Diego allowed almost 500 yards, including 165 to backup running back Rashard Mendenhall, 32 first downs and five touchdowns in five possessions in the red zone. Rivers (254 yards, three touchdowns, no interceptions) was the only reason it wasn’t a complete disaster and he’ll be forced to do more of the same if the defense can’t get its act together.
San Diego has yielded an average of 151 rushing yards per game and is without tackle Jamal Williams for the remainder of the season. Opponents have converted almost half (24 of 49) of their third-down tries and on average enjoyed more than six-and-a-half minutes of possession time.
Denver had myriad defensive issues a year ago, but not anymore. Its resurgence has been led by a unit that was nothing short of a sieve in 2008, yielding 28 points per game, including 90 in two meetings with the Chargers. Through the first five weeks, new coordinator Mike Nolan has directed a group that allowed 43 points and no more than 17 in any game. Even against the Patriots and Tom Brady, the Broncos didn’t come apart and pitched a shutout in the second half.
While running New England’s offense from 2006-08, Denver head coach Josh McDaniels enjoyed a good deal of success against the Chargers with three wins in four games, including a pair of postseason battles.
PREDICTION
The Broncos can show the nation how far they’ve come and take a stranglehold on the division lead with a win in this spot. They’ve been outscored 123-44 in their last three trips to Qualcomm and face a team that was beat up on national television two weeks ago. It’s time for the Chargers to wake up.
SAN DIEGO 20, DENVER 19
NFL: NFL Quarterback controversy’s leave bettors guessing2009-07-20Competition is healthy right? When someone has to compete, they tend to extend more effort and become better at what they do. But what happens when say two mediocre people go head to head? Does it really benefit a company or organization having to pick the best of an average pairing? And what about the sports bettor, he’s left to analyze the merits of mediocrity. In the NFL, this happens a lot. The most telling position is under center with the quarterback. In studying the list of 32 NFL teams, it is good business to find the quarterback situations that are up for grabs and give strong consideration to playing Under on futures wagers for team totals. Find the latest futures prices for the 2009 NFL season on the LIVE ODDS page.
Why you ask, it allows the old professional football proverb – If you have more than one quarterback, you have none.
The Oakland Raiders drafted JaMarcus Russell No.1 two years ago and to call his progress S L O W would be doing injustice to the word itself. Talent-wise the former LSU quarterback can make all the throws, however work habits, dedication, decision-making and staying in shape were all questions marks when he was drafted and remain today. The Oakland camp is so unsure if he is the right person for the job, they’ve brought in 39-year old Jeff Garcia.
Reports have the Raiders organization thinking Russell can learn from Garcia’s work ethic and understand what it takes to play in this league. One problem, Garcia is a curmudgeon, he has no interest in developing Russell, he wants to be the starting quarterback. If Garcia believes he has earned the job in camp (which he always does) and if coach Tom Cable (with Al Davis calling every 10 seconds) decides Russell is his guy to start the season, Garcia’s past suggests a malcontent who isn’t afraid to speak his mind. This sets up combustible situation for a franchise who makes the Kardashian’s seem normal. Sportsbook.com has Da Raaaiders at 5.5 for season wins, but if Russell fails or Garcia starts seeing the ghosts of linemen chasing him like last season, they will fall short of that total in 2009.
New Tampa Bay head coach Raheem Morris was a big fan Josh Freeman at Kansas State and picked him in first round as long term quarterback solution. While most experts considered Freeman a project, he quickly moved up in the eyes of those in the Buccaneers organization with sharp workouts in mini-camps and OTA’s. Freeman was helped significantly competing with Luke McCown and Byron Leftwich.
Morris can’t be milquetoast in making a decision. His options are more limited than he believes and nobody thinks Freeman is as prepared as Matt Ryan for quarterback duty to start the season. The smart thing to do is start McCown and let Freeman learn and make change at midseason if necessary, with veteran Leftwich in the bullpen. Oddsmakers have pegged the Bucs for 6.5 wins after two nine win campaigns, which makes good sense.
Sweeping changes were made in Cleveland, nevertheless, sports talk radio and Browns blogs are still in debate who should be starting quarterback, Derrick Anderson or Brady Quinn. New head man Eric Mangini’s first true decision as coach will be picking one of the two. No matter who he chooses, a large bucketful of support will be for the player that lost, especially if the winner fails to live up to expectations.
The real issue here is ability. Quinn is local guy, but does not possess strong arm and accuracy isn’t his strong point. He can pick up first downs with his legs and likes to throw to tight end in tough spots. His true value is incomplete due to lack of playing and injury. Anderson is neither as good as he played in 2007 nor as awful as he looked last season. He’s like a hot fudge sundae, hot and cold, and definitely turnover-prone. Mangini needs to take a stand with one and live with it, especially in first season as coach and worry about the future later. Bettors have to do the same with Browns listed at 6.5 wins for 2009.
Of course the craziest quarterback controversy isn’t even one and might not ever be one, yet has the juiciest story. Brett Favre will be a Minnesota Viking if his arm is sound and Sage Rosenfels will wonder how he was blindsided. Even more so than Garcia, Favre isn’t putting on a purple and white uniform to wear a headset. He signs; he expects to start, even if he plays the “I just want a chance to compete” card. Except for 2007, Favre has seen a noticeable deterioration in his skill to throw the medium-deep pass (unless it’s a slant) or long pass over the last four years.
Rosenfels sagged as starter for Houston last season, being too much a risk-taker when not needed. Tarvais Jackson has had his chances and fumbled his opportunities to take the Vikings-mantle by the horns and will have to move on to have real shot at starting again. Though Minnesota fans are mildly excited about Favre coming after seeing him beat their team all these years, be careful for what you wish with a quarterback who turns 40 in October. Minnesota total of nine wins could go south if No. 4 fails to impress.
Several other teams don’t have specific issues at the field general position; however they do not have answers necessarily.
Is Trent Edwards really what Buffalo needs at quarterback? He played the role of Indian-giver in 2008. He made the coaches very comfortable in the first half of the season making him the starter and gave it all back with a repulsive second half. Terrell Owens can help, if Edwards can hit the target. Are the Bills capable of beating 7.5 wins set by oddsmakers, after a trio of seven win seasons?
Also in the AFC East, the Jets have to decide on Kellen Clemens, who has never really impressed or draft pick Mark Sanchez to beat a spot of seven wins.
Tennessee has total of nine W’s set on them. Can Kerry Collins continue to be a winner and if not, is Vince Young ready to resume career and become whom the Titans originally believed they had.
Matt Hasselbeck is the starter in Seattle and he’s become increasingly more injury-prone with advancing age. Will new coach Jim Mora have quick hook if Hasselbeck flounders and go with more athletic Seneca Wallace as Seahawks look to reclaim NFC West?
Shaun Hill has 7-3 record as San Francisco starter the last two years, which he earned in part because he had a better feel for Mike Martz offense. That offense has been scrapped with his departure. Hill is tough, with strong pocket presence and a good decision-maker. Word out of the Bay Area is he has teammates respect, but the 2005 top selection Alex Smith is hell-bent on proving he’s not a bust. Smith took a huge pay cut to stay with Niners (obviously nobody called) and believes his mended wing and more traditional offense is better suited to have him be leader of 49ers and pass seven win total placed on them.
With this much acrimony floating around this many different NFL teams, it is hard to make a case any of the teams are worthy of an Over play before the season starts.
NFL: Indianapolis at San Diego (8:15 PM ET, NBC)2008-11-21Sunday’s NBC feature contest could prove to be the last stand for preseason Super Bowl favorite San Diego. After the 17-10…err 11-10 (???) loss at Pittsburgh, the Chargers are 4-6, trailing the Broncos by two games in the division standings. They’ll begin a crucial 3-game homestand against the suddenly hot Colts, who’ve won three straight games to move to 6-4. The Chargers are a field-goal favorite, with Al & John set to bring you the action at 8:15 PM ET.
At 3-7 ATS, Indy joins San Diego among the ranks of the NFL’s underachieving teams. The Colts have their sights set on the AFC Wildcard and face only one team with a winning record the rest of the way. As far as trends to consider, San Diego is 12-2 ATS in its L14 vs. the AFC South, Indy is 13-4 ATS vs. teams gaining 6.0 YPP or more. In the h2h series, the dog is 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS in the L10.
For the most part, the Chargers had Peyton Manning's number last year. While Manning picked apart San Diego's defense for 730 yards and five touchdowns in two games, he was intercepted a total of eight times and the Colts came up short on the scoreboard. They lost 23-21 on the road in Week 10 and dropped an AFC divisional round playoff meeting in what proved to be the final game at the RCA Dome, 28-24.
Manning has a chance for some payback when Indianapolis invades Qualcomm Stadium on Sunday night. The Colts, 6-4, and Chargers, 4-6, are both battling for their playoff lives. Indianapolis has played its best football over the last three weeks. It carried a 3-4 record into November and was facing a brutal month with games against five teams (New England, Pittsburgh, Houston, San Diego and Cleveland) that had a combined record of 55-29 a year ago. But so far, so good. The Colts beat the visiting Patriots, went on the road and knocked off the Steelers, then returned home and took care of the Texans, 33-27.
It's probably no coincidence strong safety Bob Sanders returned to work for the Colts beginning with the New England game after missing five contests with knee and ankle injuries. Sanders had 15 tackles and an interception in two games before returning to the inactive list last week.
Running back Joseph Addai, who missed two games and most of another with a bad hamstring, returned the same time as Sanders but wasn't effective until scoring twice against Houston. Addai has scored five times on the ground this year after ranking tied for second in the NFL in rushing touchdowns in 2007 with 12, three behind leader LaDainian Tomlinson, who isn't putting up numbers, either, and is on pace to rush for a career-low 1,110 yards and eight touchdowns.
Tomlinson entered 2008 with 2,200 carries, not including playoffs, and perhaps all the pounding has begun to take its toll. San Diego's passing game has picked up the offensive slack, ranking in the top 10 in the league at 244.2 yards per game. With 21 touchdown passes, quarterback Philip Rivers is one away from a single-season high.
PREDICTION: The Chargers play four of their last six at home and don't have much room for error considering the division-leading Broncos beat them in the first meeting. San Diego is 2-0 in primetime with 78 points to show for it, so perhaps the lighting system is their lucky charm. Maybe not - INDIANAPOLIS 20, SAN DIEGO 17
NFL: Sunday Night Football – Bears/Colts (8:15 PM ET, NBC)2008-09-05The late slate on Sunday is a light one with just three games. Still, that means three opportunities to grow your bankroll. The key game of the three is Dallas, the NFC favorite, opening its season in Cleveland. Carolina-San Diego and Arizona-San Francisco are also on the card. Click on the Live Odds page for the latest lines.
Dallas at Cleveland
Dallas was the #1 seed in the NFC Playoffs last winter and is among the Super Bowl favorites for ’08. The Browns enjoyed a remarkable 10-6 SU & 12-4 ATS season. For those reasons, when the teams get together in Cleveland this Sunday, it will be one of the league’s top opening week games. The Cowboys are a somewhat surprising 4-point road favorite, even after going 1-3 SU & 0-5 ATS down the stretch of last season. The key matchup will be that of the high powered offenses. Dallas scored 28.4 PPG, ranking 2nd in the NFL, Cleveland produced over 25 points per contest. That supports a trend that finds Cowboys HC Wade Phillips as 11-2 OVER in road non-conference games. Cleveland was also a big OVER team early last year, before going UNDER in its L6 contests.
Carolina at San Diego
San Diego boasts rightful Super Bowl aspirations for 2008 after coming up a game shy of that same goal a year ago. After learning how much home field advantage meant to the Patriots in the AFC Title game, the Chargers hope for a better start to their season in ’08 when they host Carolina. San Diego doomed itself in ’07 with a 1-3 SU & ATS start, eliminating chance for home field. Only one of six season defeats came at home and they wound up 8-1 ATS at Qualcomm. In their last five at home vs. the NFC, the Chargers are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS. However, Carolina has been one of the best road dogs in the NFL under HC John Fox, going 24-10 ATS in that role. The Panthers come in off an injury-ravaged 7-9 SU & 8-8 ATS campaign but are at near-full strength to start ’08.
Arizona at San Francisco
Call it a case of déjŕ vu, but the Cardinals and 49ers will open their second straight seasons in San Francisco. Overall, it’s the third straight year that the teams square off in week 1. In both previous seasons, the team that won failed to cover the spread. Most recently it was the Cardinals escaping with a 20-17 Monday night win. In the second meeting of ‘07 however, HC Mike Nolan’s team got its revenge, winning 37-31 in Arizona. If you’re sensing a pattern of road ATS dominance in the series, yes, the visitor has take the last six on the Vegas number. This game’s line finds the Cardinals playing as the field-goal favorite. They are 3-9 ATS in their L12 as road chalk. San Francisco was 2-4 ATS in division play last year after going 5-1 ATS in ’06.
NFL - New Orleans @ Atlanta 2007-12-07Can anyone say “flex-scheduling”? The Monday night contest between New Orleans and Atlanta lends credence to those arguing for ESPN to be granted the same flexibility as NBC in scheduling games late in the season. The matchup pits teams at the bottom of the weak NFC South. At least there’s a pointspread associated with it, New Orleans by 4.5.
That line stands to benefit the Saints, since the favorite is on a run of 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS in L10 games of this h2h series in Atlanta. The line challenges weaknesses, since N.O. is 2-9 in its L11 as chalk of 3.5-9.5, while Atlanta is 4-13 ATS as a home dog in that same line range. In the earlier meeting of these rivals, host New Orleans won 22-16, failing to cover a 7-1/2 point line while outgained by a 334-310 margin.
Sounds are emitting out of the Atlanta locker room sending several different notions. "I've been on teams that have that have shut it down late in the year," said quarterback QB Joey Harrington who played with dreadful Detroit and Miami before joining the Falcons. "There isn't a guy in this locker room that's thinking about shutting it down." Atlanta is scoring just over 14 points a game which led Alge Crumpler to wonder, "It just puzzles me that we can't score points, the tight end said. "You can't score, you can't win."
New Orleans has to play on after colossal clash with Tampa Bay, making one final push for the postseason. The Saints’ defense has had a devil of a time against the better offensive teams when the front four isn’t making plays and setting up turnovers. They tried to rebuild secondary and that’s gone about as well as a good portion of the cleanup from Hurricane Katrina. It is incumbent upon the defensive front to throw into disorder the opposing offense and create opportunities for the rest of the defense to catch the miscues.
Keys to the Game
Most people don’t know this, but this is bitter rivalry in the South for professional football fans. When teams meet twice a year, often an ebb and flow exists and it is with New Orleans when they are on the road with 19-4 ATS mark versus division teams. The Falcons have to play similar to the way they did in New Orleans, staying with the run and throwing to Roddy White and Crumpler. Atlanta has not supported there fans on Monday night football with 4-9 ATS record.
Trends
~ New Orleans is 11-2 ATS in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the second half of the season.
~ Atlanta is 3-13 ATS at home off a non-division game.
StatFox Edge – Saints cover